In short
Numbers marked “our math” are our estimates, not official figures. The notes show the inputs and the steps.
How it works
- The U.S. Census Bureau counts everyone every 10 years. In between, it makes yearly estimates as of July 1.1
- Each estimate is built from three parts: births minus deaths, people moving in from other states or counties, and people moving in from other countries.1
- Each new release can revise past years. So a 2024 number in this year’s file may not match last year’s file.1
What the numbers show
| County | 2020 census base | July 2025 | Change since 2020 (our math) | Added last year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williamson | 609,059 | 752,827 | +23.6% | 23,814 (+3.3%) |
| Travis | 1,290,157 | 1,389,670 | +7.7% | 14,749 (+1.1%) |
| Hays | 241,064 | 304,390 | +26.3% | 10,051 (+3.4%) |
| Collin | 1,066,201 | 1,297,179 | +21.7% | 42,966 (+3.4%) |
| Fort Bend | 823,997 | 975,191 | +18.3% | 24,163 (+2.5%) |
| Texas | 29,149,498 | 31,709,821 | +8.8% | 391,243 (+1.2%) |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2025 county estimates.1
- Where Williamson’s 2024-25 growth came from: 14,764 people moved in from other U.S. places, 4,618 from other countries, and births beat deaths by 4,552.1
- Travis County lost people to other U.S. places (6,590 more moved out than in), while Williamson gained.1
The other side
- Estimates are not counts. They can be off, and the Census Bureau revises them. The true number will not be known until the 2030 census.1
- Different reports use different numbers. The county’s own audit used 727,480 for both 2024 and 2025. The Census figure is newer and covers July 1, 2025.1
- Fast growth is not only a cost. New residents also add taxable homes and businesses. Whether growth pays for itself depends on many things this page does not measure.
Questions to ask
- Which population number does each county budget forecast use?
- How do county service plans for the jail, EMS and roads account for growth?
Changes to this page
- Nov. 2, 2026: Rewrote the questions to ask so each is open, neutral and addressed to the public body.
What we still don’t know
- How growth splits between cities and unincorporated areas in 2025.
- How the 2026 estimate will change these numbers.
Footnotes
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U.S. Census Bureau, Vintage 2025 county population estimates (CO-EST2025-ALLDATA): April 1, 2020 estimates base; July 1, 2024 and 2025 estimates; 2024-25 change and its parts (natural change, domestic migration, international migration). Williamson 609,059; 729,013; 752,827; change 23,814; natural 4,552; domestic 14,764; international 4,618. Travis domestic −6,590. https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/datasets/2020-2025/counties/totals/co-est2025-alldata.csv ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5 ↩6 ↩7 ↩8 ↩9 ↩10 ↩11
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Our math. 752,827 ÷ 609,059 = +23.6%; 23,814 ÷ 365 = 65 a day; 14,764 ÷ 23,814 = 62%; 23,814 ÷ 729,013 = +3.3%. Other rows: July 2025 ÷ 2020 base, and last-year change ÷ July 2024. ↩ ↩2